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Thursday, November 26, 2009

Commodity Futures Trading - How To Reduce Risk And Aim For Success

By Joseph Archibald

If you are considering going into and trading online commodity futures then do keep in mind that there is a large element of risk involved unless you reduce your risks and exposure with care. A such its sensible only to risk the capital that you can afford to lose and before doing anything take time to learn about futures trading to ensure your exposure is never more than it should be.

One good thing about trading commodities is that there will always be an intrinsic value in the product. So for example the value of a quantity of nymex gas or of crude oil is never going to be nil.

Keep your wits about you and do not get carried away with your successes. Do not either have the mentality of making up your losses as soon as possible. If you do then you end up gambling and this is not what commodity trading should be about.

A common issue with trading in commodities however is that many traders carry with the commodity too much leverage. So for example, take a 100 oz. gold contract with a value of $1000 an ounce and thus a total value of $100,000. The margin or if you prefer - good faith deposit - to have 100 oz. of gold could be around 10% of the total contract value, which is $10,000.

The problems now arise at times in that a trader who is bullish on gold my believe its a great time to invest in gold. He or she takes 10 gold contracts at a total of $100,000. If the price were to move up to $1100 an ounce then there is a nice profit to be had. If the price were to reduce by $100 an ounce however, and devalue to $900 an ounce, then the trader has to face up to a large loss unless they can meet the margin call by their broker by placing further funds in their trading account.

If you feel the time is correct to become bullish with gold and go in for 10 contracts at a cost of $100,000 and a value of $1 million and the price of gold were to move upwards to $1100 then all is looking good for us having doubled the value of our investment. But lets say that the value of gold were to dip to $900 an ounce then we are on wipe out unless we are capable of meeting the margin call by the broker to place more funds into our account.

Of course if things go well then the trader is well on the way to a very nice income from this investment. However by such exposure, any down turn in the market place could lead to serious losses and thus its seemingly more of a gamble than a calculated trade.

When trading in online commodity futures there are many advantages over the traditional method due to the ability of up to date information of the market. But this leads perhaps to an inexperienced trader being given a false sense of security leading to over exposure of available funds. Keep things in moderation and the chances are good that slowly and surely your trading account will flow with profits. - 23222

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