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Thursday, June 25, 2009

Our Treasury Bonds Deciphered

By Josh Bathurst

Serious attention is being paid the the U.S. Treasury bond market in recent trading. When T-bonds show action, the dollar does also. If there is a decline in long-term Treasury bond prices, the dollar also plummets. According to the March 2009 report of the Fed's Flow of Funds, there was $14.5 trillion outstanding in agency securities, mortgage-backed securities and Treasury securities.

Many countries invest heavily in our country's debt as an investment and China is the top holder of U.S. bonds. Several top economists believe that if the purchase of U.S. bonds by China were to stop, the U.S. interest rates would increase to make our debt more attractive.

The actual value of U.S. Treasury securities is increasingly being focused upon because of out-of-control governmental spending. China wants assurance that their assets will be safe; if the question of U.S. credibility would arise, they may likely liquidate some of their U.S. assets to cover themselves.

If foreign countries refuse to buy U.S. debt, the U.S. Treasury's only other option is to buy Treasury securities, thus increasing the money supply in a dramatic fashion. Interest rates would have to rise in order to attract investors. And, inflation would occur after the Federal Government habitually purchases T-bills. Currently, the Fed has used much money to purchase mortgage-back securities to the tune of $500 billion.

Normally, high interest rates is associated with the central bank as the government attempts to ward off inflationary pressures that come with an expanding money supply. Yet, there is less demand for Treasuries and the only other viable option is to have higher interest rates to entice buyer demand. Unfortunately, higher interest rates would only further decline the economy. As the result of higher interest rates, a greater burden is placed on the citizen which results in an escalation in mortgage defaults and more consumer debt.

Washington's record breaking Treasury offerings to fund the deficit and the Fed buying the debt through its spinning out of dollar bills is staggering. The floodgate opened by the U.S. Treasury is pushing bond yields higher. Bill Gross, of PIMCO told Bloomberg, "The market is beginning to wonder who is going to be buying these bonds."

A nation can be destroyed by inflationary deficit spending. Milton Friedman, the famous late economist, gave a warning about inflation being a ''dangerous and sometimes fatal disease''. He believe that it could destroy a society if not checked in time.

China remains the #1 holder of our nation's debt. Economist Milton Friedman warned that the fate of a country could not be separated from ''the fate of its currency''. High inflation and high interest rates are not comforting to an already fragile global economy. The increasing debt boosts bond yields at the same time that the government's budget deficit is not putting on the brakes. - 23222

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Forex Fundamental & Technical Analysis - The Basics of Succeeding at Fx Trading

By John Eather

The testing of the politics, economics, asetts is the part of Fundamental analysis when it's made use of to appraise a currency against another. The Fundamental analysis exerts the pressure of government policies and this induces the demand and supply up to the economic demands. Consequently, not one view, or band of views, decides the Forex fundamental analysis.

All the same, fundamental analysis, just about all of them in any case, implement macroeconomic indicators including prime rates of interest, inflation, economics, unemployment fluctuations. If you think of it, part of Forex fundamental factors that are caught up in the determining of currency movements.

Let's consider the economic indicators. The reports are issued by private or governments with details of a country's performance economically. The indices on the economics are issued annually, every quarter or even every month and are intermeshed around particular economic information. 2 basic factors are rates of interest and trade internationally. Additional factors are consumer durables orders, Consumer pricing Index (CPI), Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) and Producer Price Index (PPI).

The currency interest rates are essentially an economic function of every country. When a nation interest rates rise, normally, the currency of that nation will beef up versus a different nations currency. Even so, climbing interest rates, for stock exchanges is bad news. It's a reality a lot of investors move out investments from a land wherever the rates have climbed.

An important factor, of course, is the International Trade. The balance of trade indicates the difference between exports and imports. A deficit might be an economic catastrophe for a countries currency and its government. A deficit could come at a time a country is importing more than exporting and means more currency is exiting than is entering that country. All thought, a deficit may not be a bad thing and only damaging when the deficit being larger than expectations in the market and will start unfavorable price movements.

A big difference from forex technical pushes past fundamental and is used only to price action and forex technical analysis consists of an variety of forex technical subjects. Each one used to detect the direction of the market. Technical analysis correlates the moves and outcome of current markets and currency expectations are short-term. Information produced during a trading day sets the markets interest and informs forex traders of a strong market. The Forex technical analysis marks trends of movement and produces widespread "trend is your friend" a phrase amongst Froex traders. The keystone for sustaining a good level of profit is the selling and buying at the right time and knowing when its good to enter or exit a trade.

Support and resistance are the common principals of the Forex technical, which are the directing points for a chart to identify replicating up and down pressures. Support level is observed at the low point while the resistance level is at the high point. Buying and selling is the scheme practiced by a lot of experienced traders during these two resistance levels.

An axiom of the technical analysis is history often repeats itself and usually in the term of price movements. The repetitive nature of price movements is often conceded to the psychology of the Forex market. Players of the market have a response to similar stimuli of the market during certain period of times. The technical analysis uses patterns to break down Forex movements within the market and also understands the trends.

In spite of this, numerous graphs have been and still are used nowadays and they still are considered genuinely relevant as they represent the price movement patterns often repeated. This should give you an approximation of the Fundamental and Technical Analysis and should be good for you once you are willing to commence your calling as an investor. Remember - never invest any money you have got or can't risk to throw down the drain. - 23222

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Forex Trading Tips: Economic Indicators and Trading

By Bart Icles

Forex investors have to deal with a lot of information while they conduct trading in the forex market. Not only do they need to be on the lookout for changes in currency quotes, ask prices, and bid prices, they also need to be aware of forex signals. Forex signals, as the word signal suggests, give investors an idea of what trends to expect in the volatile forex environment. Oftentimes, forex signals are based on economic indicators.

It is not unusual for forex investors to keep watch of economic indicators since these indicators determine the economic state of a certain country. Economic indicators report changes in the economic conditions that have direct effects on the price and volume of the currency of a given country. Although economic indicators are not the only ones that affect forex signals, they still provide valuable hints on the future valuation of currencies.

Some of the most popularly used economic indicators in forex trading include the GDP, CPI, retail sales, and industrial production. The GDP or gross domestic product represents the total market value of the goods and services produced in a country during a given period of time. The CPI or consumer price index measures the changes in the prices of consumer goods across categories. The retail sales report the total receipts in all retail businesses in a certain country. And the industrial production shows changes in the production of industrial facilities, including utilities, within a specific country.

In conducting an analysis of forex market trends using economic indicators, it is helpful to have an economic calendar handy. An economic calendar lists different economic indicators and dates when they are due to be released. It also helps to keep a close watch of how markets move. Oftentimes, markets move according to expectations on the indicators or reports that are bound to be released. Investors must also be able to determine the economic indicators that often grab the attention of the majority of the players. More often than not, these indicators are the catalysts of largest price and volume movements.

As much as expectations are valuable, investors must also be careful not to rely too much on them. Investors are better off taking notes of market expectations, the economic indicators and reports being released, and the actual market results. In this manner, they are able to make comparisons of the differences in the three factors so they can make assessments as to what might have possibly caused the variance.

Monitoring economic indicators is indeed important when trading in the forex market. Investors must always be observant on changes in economic indicators, market reports, and market prices so they can react more accurately to future reports and forex market movements. - 23222

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Forex Training: Forex Market Background

By Bart Icles

If you plan to engage in foreign exchange (forex) trading, it would be to your advantage if you arm yourself with substantial knowledge of the foreign exchange market. Forex trainings are all over the Internet and there are even some consultants offering help on educating yourself about the dynamic forces that go about the forex market. If you take a look around, you can choose from numerous forex training programs available. With the massive number of forex trainings that can help you in your learning, you can easily conclude that they cover a wide range of topics. Varied as they may be, one of the common factors that these different forex trainings have is that they all help you understand the complex milieu of the forex market.

One the most rewarding markets that has opened its doors to various traders is the forex market. It continues to attract new traders and investors because of its identifiable trading patterns, and comparatively low margin requirements.

Unlike in stock markets, one can conduct trading in the foreign exchange market without the restrictions of a central physical exchange. Instead, one can arrange for transactions through the telephone or the Internet. Having this kind of transaction structure, the forex market has come to be recognized as the largest marketplace in the planet. It averages a foreign exchange volume of more than $1.5 trillion per day. This high volume allows traders to make faster transactions with lower transaction costs. As a result, a large number of banks, financial institutions, and multinational corporations has seen forex trading as an exceptional investment opportunity.

Most forex training courses or programs also help would-be traders in understanding the significance of trading decisions, and how they affect entry into forex trading. Forex trainings also cover important topics such as controlling risks and exiting trades.

Forex trainings should also assist future forex traders in learning more about forex charts and how to interpret them. At the same time, forex trainings should also make learners understand the value of forex charts to forex trading. Forex trainings must also update learners on technical studies on forex trading, market news and analysis, and current and predicted trading signals.

Take note that no one can become a forex trading expert overnight without going through a comprehensive forex training program. Mastery of forex trading does not only come with a single forex training course, CD, or book; mastery of the market is achieved through continuous learning, additional trainings, and trading experience. - 23222

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The Beginner Guide To A Forex Advisor

By John Eather

Oh my goodness, I just started trying to figure out the FOREX system of trading and got so confused! I was looking for a Forex Advisor. There is a lot of info that a new person with little knowledge can certainly get overwhelmed with.

Obviously, I my goal is to find out how to make money on Forex, we hear about it on the news, see junk mail in our email inboxes, and I've even received information on Forex automatic trading robots in the mail.

Big businesses, like banks facilitate the purchase and sale of foreign money, which is what "Forex" stands for, "the foreign exchange market" some people also abbreviate it "FX".

The Foreign exchange is where trading and investing is facilitated and the big reason the foreign exchange market is necessary is because of the varied types of currency in the world; the Pound Sterling, Euro, the US Dollar etc., and big international companies need for trading in these various currencies.

In order for you (if you're like me) to obtain easy, simplified forex information is to just go to a few good sites, like I did, forex-guide.net, was really set up nicely for reading and there was loads of information for free. There is also a lot of web links that will want your fees upfront for them to give out their good knowledge on Forex.

I wanted to learn for free, so I went to the forex-trader.com/fx-resources.htm, site where I signed up for free and they provide informative pages and great resources through email. My friend advised me to try YouTube, oh my goodness, I was not disappointed.

I got a little over overwhelmed at first but then I did the search in the YouTube site for Forex where menu appears with great options, pick the Forex Training and start watching videos. My common sense told me to watch the films that were highly rated and had over 20-30 minutes of footage. I got a lot out of the longer videos. Well, I hope you enjoy educating yourself and hope you start making money on the Forex. - 23222

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