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Sunday, August 23, 2009

Discover Why Typical Covered Call Writing Strategies Don't Work In A Declining Stock Market

By Marc Abrams

There are many investment training strategy websites and e-books that promise you incredible things. One of the more common stock market trading strategies taught is to sell covered call options on stocks. These websites maintain that you can earn monthly returns up to 10% or more using that very strategy! Sound good? Read on.

I will be the first to admit that selling out-of-the-money covered calls can bring lucrative monthly returns under the right circumstances. This strategy has been successfully used by me. However, this strategy is not without its disadvantages. The public has not been properly educated by the website and e-book marketers. They market this strategy as conservative with little risk. They leave you holding the bag when it all goes wrong.

Selling out-of-the-money covered calls works when the stock market is going up in value. They also work when the stock market is neutral, meaning the market trades sideways with little swing up or down. I don't know about you, but when was the last time the stock market traded sideways for any length of time?

We are currently in the midst of an extremely volatile market. The Dow frequently moves as much as 200 points either way in a single day. Hardly a profitable market for an out-of-the-money covered call writer. Your profits will start to evaporate once the stock you are holding starts to decline. I can assure you that profits can evaporate very quickly. I have seen the value of a stock drop from $10 to $1 over night! There is never enough premium on an option sale to cover that kind of decline.

The key to out-of-the-money covered call writing is to select stocks that will get called. Many so called experts do not want the stock to get called. They want you to keep the stock so you can sell a covered call option on it the next month. This strategy is flawed. You need to select stocks that are trending up in value, hence, a rising market. Those stocks will make you the most money. If the stock gets called, I know I ended up making my maximum anticipated return.

What if the stock shoots way up in value? The stock simply gets called away if it rises up past the strike price and stays there through expiration. Isn't that what you wanted to begin with? Because you did not participate in those gains you may feel like you left money on the table. If that upsets you then just buy the stock outright and don't sell covered call options on that stock. Why not just let the stock get called away, take your profit and move on? Then look for another stock to buy and sell calls on for the next month.

Remember, selling out-of-the-money covered calls can provide an excellent source if income in a rising stock market. However, this strategy is less than ideal in a stock market like the one we find ourselves in today. There are, however, other strategies that will offer significant protection in a volatile or declining stock market. - 23222

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Currency Trading

By Paul Bryant

Forex currency trading or simply Forex trading is the trading of foreign currencies against each other. Every Forex trade which takes place results in buying of one currency and selling of another currency simultaneously.

Here when one purchases any countrys currency then they have to do it with another countrys currency. This transaction which takes place between two countries with respect to their currency is the Foreign exchange transaction and the price the traders negotiate is the exchange rate.

It is really amazing to see how Forex trading has come to attain its present status and is being considered as the backbone of the entire capital transactions of the world combined. Furthermore, Forex trading with an estimated transaction worth of $1.5 trillion USD taking place each day is the worlds largest markets considering the volume of trade it generates.

Present data shows that stock market trading has been surpassed by Forex trading not only in terms of volume but also in terms of popularity. With huge profits being generated in a short time the Forex trading business is by far the most potential business. The main fact is that even minor currency movements leads to accumulating reasonable profit on the trade which seems to be more profitable when comparisons are drawn among all the trading markets.

The trading throughout the world varies with respect to place and time and with respect to the daily working hours the market timings vary from place to place. Forex trading begins every Sunday at 7pm in the evening New York time, as the markets open for the week in Tokyo located in the easternmost part of the world. Next in line to open the markets is the Hong Kong and Singapore markets followed by the European markets. Last in line to follow is London and trading takes place throughout the world.

Currencies of the world are being traded in the Forex markets particularly for hedging and for certain speculative purposes as well. Reasons for trading foreign currencies are diverse and vary from one investor to another. No matter what type of investors they are, either corporate agencies or financial institutions or individual traders, they have surely all the good reasons for investing in Forex trade and the most obvious reason is that Forex trading is by far the best platform with huge profit potential.

Forex trading operates well in speculative markets. In just less than a decade Forex markets have grown tremendously and its present size is about 50 times that of all the other capital markets combined together. In Forex trading the most favored currencies till date are USD, EUR, JPY, GBP, CHF, CAD, and the AUD.

Even for the execution of a large buy and sell orders there is just no slippage of the market price in Forex trading. The traders are able to take the advantage of both upward as well as the downward trend, thereby increasing the market profit potential. This is probably the reason why the Forex trading is considered to be the most efficient markets in the world. - 23222

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What A Forex Currency Trading Beginner Should Know

By Jane MacRae

If you are a Forex currency trading beginner, your first order of business is to get yourself informed. Forex trading can truly be highly profitably. However, without knowing its essentials, you will not earn one single dollar from it and may even lose your investment.

Do you know that the Forex market is the biggest financial market in the world? You may think that the stock market is big enough, but it can not quite measure up the size of the Forex market. Even if you add the futures market to the stock market, the Forex market would still have a bigger amount of money being traded every day.

In the past, only people with large capital are allowed to trade in the Forex market. Thanks to the presence of online trading companies, average investors can also have their share in this exciting field today. That being said, you still need to be able to afford the risk of financial loss.

In its simplicity, Forex trading is to buy and sell different currencies in the world. You buy one currency while sell another. As such, currency trading always involves pairs, and quotes of currencies also come in one currency against another. The major players include the U.S. dollar and the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD), the Euro and the U.S. dollar (EUR/USD), the U.S. dollar and the yen (USD/JPY) and the Australian dollar and the U.S. dollar (AUD/USD).

Forex trading also has a number of advantages compared to other types of financial investment. The transactions are fast because everything is electronic. You also are assured that there are often people who would want to trade with you. This is simply because there are so many people who are trading everyday and every hour of the day. You can buy and sell at anytime whenever you want to.

Perhaps the biggest attraction of Forex trading is its leverage. With a nearly unbelievable ratio of 200:1, you leverage capacity is simply huge. With very minimal initial cash you can already manage a large amount of currency. This is probably the main reason why the market is quite attractive for those who want to increase their earnings impressively.

However, you should expect to get rich instantly in this market. People can lose too in currency trading. Those who do are often those who act impulsively with the hopes of getting rich instantaneously. If you do not take the time to learn the inner wheels of Forex trading and the technical aspects of leveraging, then you could lose everything you have put into currency trading.

It is crucial for any Forex currency trading beginner to get well-informed before stepping into the real water. Apart from the knowledge, you should also be both financially and psychologically ready for the game. A good way to warm up is to pick an online company which offers virtual trading with imaginary currencies so that you will not suffer serious loss. By playing small at the very beginning, you can have a real feel of the market while minimizing possible money loss. - 23222

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What is US Dollar Index?

By Ahmad Hassam

The US Dollar Index is traded on the New York Board of Trade at Finex and at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME). The US Dollar Index is used by traders to get the big picture of the overall trend of the dollar. It is widely quoted in the press and on quote services.

The Federal Reserve Board had introduced the US Dollar Index in 2003. The index is the result of the Smithsonian Agreement that had replaced the Bretton Woods Agreement. The US Dollar Index is similar to the Feds Dollar Index which is a trade weighted index. The Fed gives value to each individual currency in the index based on how much it trades with the US.

However, the US Dollar Index and the Feds Dollar Index should not be confused with one another. The value of US Dollar Index and the Feds Dollar Index is different. The US Dollar Index futures contract expires on March, June, September and December. The minimum tick on the US Dollar Index is 0.1. One tick is equals $10.

The overall value of the contract on the index is 1,000 times the value of the index in dollars. Delivery is physical. It means that you receive dollars based on the value of the index on the second business day prior to the third Wednesday during the month of the expiring contract.

Delivery day of the US Dollar Index Futures Contract is the third Wednesday of the contract month. No trading limits are placed on the US Dollar Index. Trading hours are from 8.05 AM to 3:00 PM. There is overnight trading also from 7 PM to 10 PM.

The US Dollar Index was modified at the inception of the Euro and is weighted in a way thats similar to the Feds trade weighted index as follows: Euro 57.6%, JPY 13.6%, GBP 11.9%, CAD 9.1%, Krona 4.2% and CHF 3.6%. The US Dollar Index is best used as an indicator of trends in the currency markets.

However, you must keep this in your mind that the US Dollar Index is not as good a trading vehicle as the individual currencies. The best way to trade the index is by using the currency mutual funds. One of the secrets of knowing trading success is understanding what kind of personality you have. Are you weak nerved or strong nerved.

Spot forex trading is not for the weak nerved. If you are afraid of taking a coffee or bathroom break for the fear the market will move against you and in a blink of an eye you will end up with a margin call, then you need to invest in currency mutual funds based on US Dollar Index and relax.

You can avoid a big part of the risk involved in trading spot currency market by trading currency mutual funds. You can have a pretty good idea as to how your fund is going to close at the end of the day if you check the dollar index a few times during the day. This will smooth your nerves and make you relax. If trading makes you tense and nervous, you should think about doing something else. Maybe trading is not for you. - 23222

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Descending Triangles -Short Trading Strategy

By Jeff Cartridge

The descending triangle is the most profitable chart pattern when trading short. The descending triangle is formed with the lower boundary of the price movement contained by a line close to horizontal and the top line slopes down toward the bottom line.

Descending Triangles, One Of The Best

Descending triangles are one of the most predictable patterns that are available to trade short. With 57% of the patterns breaking down descending triangles can deliver good returns when they do. The average gain is 0.92% in 9 days with about half of the breakouts (45%) being profitable. These results are good but selecting the right conditions can make trading descending triangles very attractive.

Specific Setups to Improve Profitability

When you look at the performance of a descending triangle in bearish market conditions you will see the results were stronger than they were in more bullish years. Trading descending triangles when the market is in a down trend or consolidating improves your trading results. The sector should be falling to make the best profits. Unusually the trend of the sector at the end of the pattern, prior to the breakout is less important than the sector trend at the start of the pattern.

Descending triangles that breakout early in the pattern, produce similar results to those that breakout later, so this is not an important filter to use. The best results are achieved when the stock climbs up from the lower boundary and collapses back before reaching the upper boundary of the pattern.

If the volume supports the breakout the results are better. Supportive volume means the volume on the way down is higher than the volume on the way up.

Descending Triangles Extremely Profitable

You can improve your trading results by using a series of simple filters that have been outlined here. This select group of descending triangles delivers an average profit of 2.55% in 10 days and is profitable on 48% of the trades. Overall this makes descending triangles extremely attractive to trade.

Note: Statistics for this article have been provided by Patterns Trader after analyzing over 60,000 chart patterns on the Australian market from 2000 - 2008. - 23222

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